At least five million Black and Hispanic people could lose their health insurance as a result of the pandemic, according to a new analysis from Avalere.
The healthcare consulting firm used insurance distribution rates by race prior to the pandemic and the Bureau of Labor Statistics' February to April unemployment figures to estimate the number of individuals losing employment who may also be losing access to job-based health insurance coverage.
Before the pandemic, Black and Hispanic people were more likely to be covered by Medicaid or uninsured compared to their white counterparts. According to health insurance coverage statistics from 2018, 27% and 29% of Black and Hispanic people were insured by Medicaid, respectively, compared to 11% of white people. Additionally, 11% and 18% of respective Black and Hispanic people were uninsured in 2018, compared to 6% of white people.
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After the pandemic, Avalere predicts a larger proportion of Black and Hispanic people will lose their health insurance coverage compared to Caucasians.
While a greater number of white people lost their employer coverage between February and April (six million compared to two and three million respective Black and Hispanic people), Black and Hispanic people faced a disproportionately larger loss of coverage relative to their populations – 13% change for Black and Hispanic people rather than 6% for white individuals.
WHAT'S THE IMPACT
Rising rates of health insurance loss could create larger ripples beyond access to healthcare, a study from FamiliesUSA alleged.
Health insurance losses will trigger major revenue declines for hospitals and other healthcare providers, it said. Further, if health systems can't financially support themselves, even more workers will lose their jobs -- this time healthcare workers specifically.
"If American employment falls significantly below May levels, as many as 4.7 million could lose their jobs in healthcare and related industries," said the FamiliesUSA report.
The Avalere report offered Medicaid expansion as a possible solution to the uninsured gap. For example, it cites Kaiser Family Foundation research which found that, following the enactment of the Affordable Care Act, the uninsured rate fo Hispanics fell from about 32% to 19%.
THE LARGER TREND
Following the large wave of employees who were laid off or furloughed because of COVID-19, the American Hospital Association, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, America's Health Insurance Plans and others sent a letter urging Congress to increase coverage options for employees who lost their jobs.
One of the options the letter recommended Congress make was to offset full cost of coverage through the Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act, or COBRA, to former employees through a direct subsidy.
Still, as many wait for lawmakers to pass another COVID-19 relief bill, giving health coverage to the uninsured is a top priority. Almost 90% of voters support government intervention to give financial aid for job-based health coverage, according to a poll conducted by the American Benefits Council and the Alliance to Fight for Health Care.
ON THE RECORD
"The loss of employer-sponsored insurance is expected to disproportionately impact the Black and Hispanic populations," said Angel Valladares, a consultant at Avalere and an author of the report. "These shifts will further exacerbate the pre-existing disparities in coverage before the coronavirus outbreak."
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